Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000669 0.000762 0.000859 0.000970 0.001092 0.001222 0.001370
2025-09-07 0.000523 0.000651 0.000795 0.000969 0.001172 0.001400 0.001675
2025-09-14 0.000444 0.000587 0.000755 0.000967 0.001224 0.001523 0.001895
2025-09-21 0.000379 0.000529 0.000714 0.000956 0.001258 0.001621 0.002084
2025-09-28 0.000326 0.000479 0.000674 0.000938 0.001278 0.001696 0.002242
2025-10-05 0.000299 0.000459 0.000670 0.000962 0.001348 0.001833 0.002479
2025-10-12 0.000274 0.000438 0.000662 0.000979 0.001409 0.001958 0.002701
2025-10-19 0.000244 0.000407 0.000637 0.000971 0.001432 0.002034 0.002863
2025-10-26 0.000217 0.000378 0.000611 0.000959 0.001451 0.002102 0.003012
2025-11-02 0.000199 0.000361 0.000602 0.000969 0.001496 0.002207 0.003212
2025-11-09 0.000181 0.000342 0.000587 0.000968 0.001527 0.002290 0.003385
2025-11-16 0.000159 0.000312 0.000554 0.000940 0.001515 0.002315 0.003478
2025-11-23 0.000139 0.000286 0.000524 0.000914 0.001507 0.002344 0.003578
2025-11-30 0.000126 0.000270 0.000510 0.000910 0.001531 0.002420 0.003744
2025-12-07 0.000114 0.000256 0.000497 0.000910 0.001558 0.002499 0.003917
2025-12-14 0.000103 0.000239 0.000480 0.000899 0.001569 0.002554 0.004056
2025-12-21 0.000091 0.000222 0.000459 0.000882 0.001569 0.002593 0.004171
2025-12-28 0.000087 0.000219 0.000463 0.000904 0.001632 0.002726 0.004426
2026-01-04 0.000082 0.000214 0.000463 0.000921 0.001685 0.002846 0.004663
2026-01-11 0.000074 0.000202 0.000449 0.000913 0.001698 0.002904 0.004810
2026-01-18 0.000067 0.000190 0.000435 0.000902 0.001706 0.002954 0.004946
2026-01-25 0.000062 0.000184 0.000431 0.000911 0.001746 0.003056 0.005160
2026-02-01 0.000057 0.000176 0.000423 0.000911 0.001770 0.003131 0.005336